Here’s an interesting analysis (for me anyway, probably nobody else). It appears that I have been a participant in the draw system for 22 years now For some reason the history in the system only goes back to 1996, but it shows I had 2 points from prior years, meaning I had applied at least 2 years previous (my memory doesn’t seem to go back that far). In the descriptions below, ‘the change’ refers to the changes to the program that occurred a few years ago.
In 22 years, I’ve been drawn 9 times, twice in 1 year (40% yearly success overall), 8 times before the change (35%), 1 time after (50%).
In 22 years, I’ve applied for 216 total hunts (10/year), 143 before the change (7/year), 73 after (37/year).
Another way of looking at ‘success rate’ is to look at the number of times drawn relative to the number of individual hunts applied for, which is 5.6% before the change (8 of 143) and 1.4% post-change (1 of 73). But, to be fair, the new system has only been in place 2 years.
The most hunts I’ve ever been drawn for in 1 year was 2 (only happened once), the rest were only 1 hunt per year.
I’ve applied every year since 1994. The lowest number of hunts I have put in for in a given year was 2, the most was 17 prior to the change, 45 post-change (last year, went 0-45). The longest I’ve gone without being drawn for something is 4 years.
I’ve applied for 22 different categories before the change, 17 after the change (24 total different categories).
Of the 24 different categories I’ve applied for, I’ve only been drawn in 3 of them (for 21 different categories, I’ve never been selected).
I started applying in 1994, but didn’t get to carry a rifle on a drawn hunt until 2009 (16 years).
In addition to the hunts I was drawn for, I have also gone stand-by for 7 hunts in 7 years and was selected each time.
I have applied with a total of 17 different hunters over the years, counting stand-by, and 12 have been selected on hunts with me (unfortunately, Dad has never made it).
Here’s a breakdown of individual hunt categories:
Archery Deer – I’ve applied in 17 years, 15 pre-change, 2 post-change and have been drawn 5 times (all pre-change).
Exotic – I’ve applied in 12 years, 10 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Deer Antlerless/Spike – I’ve applied 13 years, 11 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Deer Either Sex - I’ve applied in 22 years, 20 pre-change, 2 post-change and have been drawn 2 times (1 pre-change, 1 post-change).
Pronghorn - I’ve applied in 19 years, 17 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Spring Turkey - I’ve applied in 15 years, 13 pre-change, 2 post-change and have been drawn 2 times (both pre-change).
Guided Exotic - I’ve applied in 2 years, pre-change, and was never drawn (now defunct).
Guided Deer - I’ve applied in 2 years, pre-change, and was never drawn (now defunct).
Private Lands Either Sex - I’ve applied 10 years, 9 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Guided Bighorn Sheep - I’ve applied 6 years, 5 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Deer Management - I’ve applied 10 years, 8 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Archery Exotic - I’ve applied 4 years, 3 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Feral Hog - I’ve applied 2 years, both pre-change. Never been drawn.
Javelina - I’ve applied 3 years, all pre-change. Never been drawn.
Archery Mule Deer - I’ve applied 8 years, 6 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Mule Deer - I’ve applied 9 years, 7 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Private Lands Pronghorn - I’ve applied 5 years, 4 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Alligator - I’ve applied 4 years, 3 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Private Lands Antlerless/Spike - I’ve applied 4 years, 2 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Guided Gemsbok - I’ve applied 3 years, all pre-change. Never been drawn.
Crossbow - I’ve applied 2 years, both pre-change (now defunct). Never been drawn.
Guided Oryx - I’ve applied 1 year, pre-change, and wasn’t drawn.
Alligator Management - I’ve applied 2 years, both post-change. Never been drawn.
Postcard - I’ve applied 1 year, post-change and wasn’t drawn.
Direct comparisons to other hunters/success will never be comparable due to loyalty points, loyalty points averaged by group members, and an individual’s preference in where you apply (I tend to just put in for ‘the good spots’) as well as applying for the really difficult categories (like Pronghorn). But, I’d say that I have been fairly unlucky and have still gone on 16 hunts (9 drawn and 7 stand-by) in 22 years (73%). That’s not too bad.
In 22 years, I’ve been drawn 9 times, twice in 1 year (40% yearly success overall), 8 times before the change (35%), 1 time after (50%).
In 22 years, I’ve applied for 216 total hunts (10/year), 143 before the change (7/year), 73 after (37/year).
Another way of looking at ‘success rate’ is to look at the number of times drawn relative to the number of individual hunts applied for, which is 5.6% before the change (8 of 143) and 1.4% post-change (1 of 73). But, to be fair, the new system has only been in place 2 years.
The most hunts I’ve ever been drawn for in 1 year was 2 (only happened once), the rest were only 1 hunt per year.
I’ve applied every year since 1994. The lowest number of hunts I have put in for in a given year was 2, the most was 17 prior to the change, 45 post-change (last year, went 0-45). The longest I’ve gone without being drawn for something is 4 years.
I’ve applied for 22 different categories before the change, 17 after the change (24 total different categories).
Of the 24 different categories I’ve applied for, I’ve only been drawn in 3 of them (for 21 different categories, I’ve never been selected).
I started applying in 1994, but didn’t get to carry a rifle on a drawn hunt until 2009 (16 years).
In addition to the hunts I was drawn for, I have also gone stand-by for 7 hunts in 7 years and was selected each time.
I have applied with a total of 17 different hunters over the years, counting stand-by, and 12 have been selected on hunts with me (unfortunately, Dad has never made it).
Here’s a breakdown of individual hunt categories:
Archery Deer – I’ve applied in 17 years, 15 pre-change, 2 post-change and have been drawn 5 times (all pre-change).
Exotic – I’ve applied in 12 years, 10 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Deer Antlerless/Spike – I’ve applied 13 years, 11 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Deer Either Sex - I’ve applied in 22 years, 20 pre-change, 2 post-change and have been drawn 2 times (1 pre-change, 1 post-change).
Pronghorn - I’ve applied in 19 years, 17 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Spring Turkey - I’ve applied in 15 years, 13 pre-change, 2 post-change and have been drawn 2 times (both pre-change).
Guided Exotic - I’ve applied in 2 years, pre-change, and was never drawn (now defunct).
Guided Deer - I’ve applied in 2 years, pre-change, and was never drawn (now defunct).
Private Lands Either Sex - I’ve applied 10 years, 9 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Guided Bighorn Sheep - I’ve applied 6 years, 5 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Deer Management - I’ve applied 10 years, 8 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Archery Exotic - I’ve applied 4 years, 3 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Feral Hog - I’ve applied 2 years, both pre-change. Never been drawn.
Javelina - I’ve applied 3 years, all pre-change. Never been drawn.
Archery Mule Deer - I’ve applied 8 years, 6 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Gun Mule Deer - I’ve applied 9 years, 7 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Private Lands Pronghorn - I’ve applied 5 years, 4 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Alligator - I’ve applied 4 years, 3 pre-change, 1 post-change. Never been drawn.
Private Lands Antlerless/Spike - I’ve applied 4 years, 2 pre-change, 2 post-change. Never been drawn.
Guided Gemsbok - I’ve applied 3 years, all pre-change. Never been drawn.
Crossbow - I’ve applied 2 years, both pre-change (now defunct). Never been drawn.
Guided Oryx - I’ve applied 1 year, pre-change, and wasn’t drawn.
Alligator Management - I’ve applied 2 years, both post-change. Never been drawn.
Postcard - I’ve applied 1 year, post-change and wasn’t drawn.
Direct comparisons to other hunters/success will never be comparable due to loyalty points, loyalty points averaged by group members, and an individual’s preference in where you apply (I tend to just put in for ‘the good spots’) as well as applying for the really difficult categories (like Pronghorn). But, I’d say that I have been fairly unlucky and have still gone on 16 hunts (9 drawn and 7 stand-by) in 22 years (73%). That’s not too bad.
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