Originally posted by TexasBob
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Tropical Weather Threat For Texas
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Last edited by Ætheling; 08-23-2017, 06:50 AM.
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Check out the link below:
This was a report from the Us Department of Commerce as a Service Assessment to the impacts of Tropical Storm Allison in 2001.
On page 17 there is a recap in regards to the actions taken as titled "Tropical Prediction Center". In the 4th paragraph it reveals that the initial Tropical Storm Warning for Allison predicted for 5 inches of heavy rainfall. (That was predicted at 2pm the afternoon of June 5th - the day of landfall) 2 hours later they predicted a forecast rainfall of 8 inches in isolated areas.
The report continues to read on and explain that the forecasts were updated through the storm, but no where does it mention a 3-4 day future forecast that called for the amount of rain projected for us with Harvey.
My point is this: When Allison was coming they did not expect near the rainfall that they actually received. Now granted this was technology that is now 17 years old, but if the models for Harvey continue to spit out the data they show today we could have our hands full.
Either way, be safe and plan for the worst. You can never be over prepared.
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Originally posted by Neck View PostI remember Allison dumped over 40 inches on us back in 2001. Don't remember the predictions but I don't think it was even close to the massive amount we got.
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Originally posted by macguyverberry View PostCheck out the link below:
This was a report from the Us Department of Commerce as a Service Assessment to the impacts of Tropical Storm Allison in 2001.
On page 17 there is a recap in regards to the actions taken as titled "Tropical Prediction Center". In the 4th paragraph it reveals that the initial Tropical Storm Warning for Allison predicted for 5 inches of heavy rainfall. (That was predicted at 2pm the afternoon of June 5th - the day of landfall) 2 hours later they predicted a forecast rainfall of 8 inches in isolated areas.
The report continues to read on and explain that the forecasts were updated through the storm, but no where does it mention a 3-4 day future forecast that called for the amount of rain projected for us with Harvey.
My point is this: When Allison was coming they did not expect near the rainfall that they actually received. Now granted this was technology that is now 17 years old, but if the models for Harvey continue to spit out the data they show today we could have our hands full.
Either way, be safe and plan for the worst. You can never be over prepared.
Thanks for the great info! Guess I will pack a bag when I go to work on Friday morning just in case roadways become impassable. Back some goodies in you cars [emoji6]
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Tropical Weather Threat For Texas
Problem with Allison is that heifer hit, sat, backed back out, regained some strength and hit us again.
And with these wobbly tracks on Harvey it wouldn't surprise me if it kinda did the same thing. But we still have 3 days so I'm sure it will change some more
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Does anyone know the rain predictions for TS Allison? I think that was the on that flooded most of Houston a couple of years ago.
June 9th, 2001 I still have nightmares.
10 million gallons of water in my office and labs. Took me 3.5 years to get back into my office.
We don't want that again!!
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