Covid 19 — What the Data Tells Us
TL;DR version
Remember folks, regardless of what side of the line you fall on this, whether it is/was a "hoax"... THIS **** was done methodically, intentionally and with MALICE.
TL;DR version
The Punchline: We got it wrong and now we’re largely tracking it wrong...
Did you know the “new cases” in daily reports are actually “old infections newly reported”??? Most of what is reported is old news and not indicative of what is happening or how we are trending.
We must look at “Date of Onset” to do ACCURATE trend analysis, but the CDC stopped reporting onset data in April.
Did you know the “new cases” in daily reports are actually “old infections newly reported”??? Most of what is reported is old news and not indicative of what is happening or how we are trending.
We must look at “Date of Onset” to do ACCURATE trend analysis, but the CDC stopped reporting onset data in April.
Fatality in Context (i.e. Risk): The risk of death for the general population of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to work. The risk was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or no symptoms were not taken into account. i.e. we’re capturing most of the deaths but only 5–10% of the infections. Risk varies by age significantly. For kids (particularly toddlers), they are ~20X’s more likely to die from the Flu or Pneumonia than Covid. For those over age 70, the risk of fatality is ~2.5% — this is much higher for those in poor health.
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