It has no choice but correct somewhat. In late 17 & 18 all the drillers were re-building their fleet of tool so we were supplying new parts as well as replacement parts. For the most part those fleets are built now to even if drilling remains constant the demand for parts will drop.
However most of the motor companies we supply are still forecasting either no reduction in demand or a continued increase in demand in 2019 for the parts we make. I hope they are right...
For us it has really just been the typical year end slowdown. Definitely a lot of attention on oil prices and if we see it go under $40 it will really start getting some attention. Takeaway capacity will really be an issue with current pricing.
A lot of our customers are hedged at least through 19 but that doesn't mean completions and drilling wont be slowed on falling pricing especially into 2nd quarter on.
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