Hey Dallas, check out your forecast

[Coon]

Wow! Look at the pretty colors! I wish I knew what they meant.

Dave

[Moose]

Got a week long vacation next week for hunting- Yall quit talking about the weather you're going to jinx me!!

[wrangler1]

I've figured it out for me, I like THE cold, but I don't like to BE cold. Looks like I will be bundling up in the near future!

[Mike D]

So Johnny is this the cold air front you have been talking about?

My next questions is, how long will it last? All of the forecasts I have seen show it warming back up pretty quickly.

[Johnny]

So Johnny is this the cold air front you have been talking about?

My next questions is, how long will it last? All of the forecasts I have seen show it warming back up pretty quickly.

Are you talking about the one coming into tomorrow and into Wednesday? If so then NO, that is not the one I am talking about. The one tomorrow will be a good one though....probably the strongest cold front of the fall/winter season. Wednesday the wind will be howling under cold air advection and if the winds lay Wednesday evening, most places across Texas will experience their lowest temperatures of the season come Thursday morning. After Thursday temperatures will start to moderate going into the weekend and will warm up. Come Monday we need to look north which is when I'm thinking a big chunk of siberian air will slide over Alaska and into the Northwestern territories of Canada...then straight south into Texas.

Models (especially the GFS) are trying to slow down and even stall out this arctic air from coming south. This is a typical error thrown out by the GFS because it doesn't handle the movement of very cold shallow arctic airmasses like this. The GFS is showing a southwest flow at the surface which would slow down a weak canadien airmass of pacific airmass but not a strong arctic airmass. It will just keep plowing southward and will not slow down.

I don't even want to touch on how cold this airmass will be right now. I'm waiting for it to start sliding south into northern Canada to see if just a little piece breaks off or the entire mother lode starts to drop. I won't know much from now till Friday about this.

[Mark44]

weather.com and accuweather.com now accounting for Johnny's airmass - has it being 11 for the low in north central Kansas on Sun-Wed where I'll be pheasant hunting next week.

the same dot coms have it with a low of 44 or higher here in Dallas on Mon-Wed. folks, unless someone put up a really tall wall on the Okie Kansas border that really cold air will come down here and cool things off below 44! it if is 12 (or 9 as one forecast says!) in Salina it won't be 44 here for long!

[Johnny]

weather.com and accuweather.com now accounting for Johnny's airmass - has it being 11 for the low in north central Kansas on Sun-Wed where I'll be pheasant hunting next week.

the same dot coms have it with a low of 44 or higher here in Dallas on Mon-Wed. folks, unless someone put up a really tall wall on the Okie Kansas border that really cold air will come down here and cool things off below 44! it if is 12 (or 9 as one forecast says!) in Salina it won't be 44 here for long!

Great eye man. This is what the GFS is trying to do...stall it out or slow it WAY down. Not gonna happen.