What do our resident weather experts think of this forecast?

[jerp]

I was just reading a National Weather Service winter forecast. Based on a prediction of this being a La Nina year, they are calling for a dry and warmer than normal winter for Texas and the southwest. We have some guys around here that follow this stuff closely - what say you?

[systemnt]

in

[Briar Friar]

Good thread Jerp. I think the NOAA forcasters just amended the forecast because as of a month or two ago there was prediction for a wet and chilly winter like a couple of years ago that brought us alot of ice...a couple months prior it was predicted to be as you stated...warmer and drier. As I gathered from the report... La Nina and El Nino and subsequent weather patterns are based on the Pacific equatorial water circulation tunnel.

[webstertroy]

in

[jerp]

Good thread Jerp. I think the NOAA forcasters just amended the forecast because as of a month or two ago there was prediction for a wet and chilly winter like a couple of years ago that brought us alot of ice...a couple months prior it was predicted to be as you stated...warmer and drier. As I gathered from the report... La Nina and El Nino and subsequent weather patterns are based on the Pacific equatorial water circulation tunnel.

Yeah, I seem to remember a cold/wet winter forecast from a few months ago. I guess it all hinges on how much of a La Nina develops and they don't really know until it starts.

[Mike D]

What do our resident weather experts think of this forecast?

This is what the Almanac said in August.



I guess most of that timeline is for after hunting season though.


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[Ferg]

persimmon seed says cold and wet

[Playa]

persimmon seed says cold and wet

I'd take a persimmon seed over NWS 9 outa 10 times

[Trust]

Based on acorns falling earlier than normal and the amount of them, I'm gonna say colder winter.

[.243 WSSM]

Phil sez the complete opposite of NWS outlook. I don't know who is doing more drugs. Flip a coin or wait 6 months to declare the winner

[ghostgoblin22]

all the info I've gathered its supposedly going to be cold and wet, but we all know nothing is guaranteed in texas

[Playa]

Phil sez the complete opposite of NWS outlook. I don't know who is doing more drugs. Flip a coin or wait 6 months to declare the winner

Ima guess it will be somewhere in the middle.

[Bowtech38]

I'll go day by day. Hoping cold thou

[Briar Friar]

Bump for more forecaster discussion.

[rtp]

I'd take a persimmon seed over NWS 9 outa 10 times

I think you are not giving the persimmon seed enough credit.