Euro model has a storm developing south of Galveston by next Wednesday. Still aways off but Euro is good about latching onto these systems ahead of the others. Something to keep an eye on
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I believe the possible Tropical activity y'all are discussing is actually more like 10-14 days away from happening. Recently the GFS has been showing a storm developing, and the Euro hasn't, but we are talking 10+ days out, and it all needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Key thing to note here in my opinion is that the dynamics could come together where development IS POSSIBLE, but does not mean it will happen.
In another note though, another area of disturbed weather was labeled as an Invest, and will be crossing the Yucatan into the Bay of Campeche again over the next few days. Wont have much time over the BOC, and should stay well south of Texas.
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Originally posted by ccbluewater View PostI believe the possible Tropical activity y'all are discussing is actually more like 10-14 days away from happening. Recently the GFS has been showing a storm developing, and the Euro hasn't, but we are talking 10+ days out, and it all needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Key thing to note here in my opinion is that the dynamics could come together where development IS POSSIBLE, but does not mean it will happen.
In another note though, another area of disturbed weather was labeled as an Invest, and will be crossing the Yucatan into the Bay of Campeche again over the next few days. Wont have much time over the BOC, and should stay well south of Texas.
Good post. Yes, the GFS is showing a healthy system in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico but that is 300 hours out. None of the other global models are showing anything that far out just yet. I will say that the GFS model has been tweaked around and it supposed to have good improvements as far as performance in the mid and longe range. Could it be sniffing something out? I guess we will see. The Caribbean will be going into a favorable phase for tropical development late next week so something to keep an eye on.
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Originally posted by .243 WSSM View PostNo. This thread I started pertains to 4th of July week.
American model now strong on a storm developing in southwestern gulf and moving north towards the sabine river early 4th of july week
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