I hope everyone had a great 4th of July!
Let me introduce to you Invest 96L...soon to be Bonnie maybe?

Yesterday evening 96L looked well on its way to becoming a depression but overnight it lost a lot of it's deep convection. Over the past hour or so, convection looks to be firing on the west side of the system.

I don't see why this one won't develop into a decent system over the next day or two and once again, us here along the Texas coast are going to have to keep a very close eye on this one. The NHC is currently giving this one a 40% shot of developing.

So where is this one going to end up? Here is the latest model spread.

We do not have a defined LLC at the moment so models are not reliable at all right now. I don't like to give a good guess until their is a low level circulation. Models really aren't liking this one too much right now with most bringing a weak system somewhere into the gulf coast. I'll take a weak system over a hurricane anyday of the week. Just something to keep an eye on over the next couple of days.

Let me introduce to you Invest 96L...soon to be Bonnie maybe?

Yesterday evening 96L looked well on its way to becoming a depression but overnight it lost a lot of it's deep convection. Over the past hour or so, convection looks to be firing on the west side of the system.

I don't see why this one won't develop into a decent system over the next day or two and once again, us here along the Texas coast are going to have to keep a very close eye on this one. The NHC is currently giving this one a 40% shot of developing.

So where is this one going to end up? Here is the latest model spread.

We do not have a defined LLC at the moment so models are not reliable at all right now. I don't like to give a good guess until their is a low level circulation. Models really aren't liking this one too much right now with most bringing a weak system somewhere into the gulf coast. I'll take a weak system over a hurricane anyday of the week. Just something to keep an eye on over the next couple of days.
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